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Broncos vs Raiders Odds, Picks, and Predictions Week 18: Not So Elite QB Play
It’s the final game of the season for both the Broncos and Raiders with neither team set to make the postseason. Both teams are trotting out backup quarterbacks and our NFL picks are expecting both to struggle mightily.
There’s good news and bad news for both the Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders ahead of their Week 18 meeting at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. The good news is that whoever wins comes second in the division, but the bad news is that neither will make the playoffs.
Despite the Raiders never having lost to Denver since moving to Vegas, this is a game between two run-heavy teams with poor quarterbacks and there is no reason not to get on this Under early before it moves anymore in the NFL odds.
I break down the Week 17 NFL odds and offer my free NFL picks for Broncos vs. Raiders on January 7.
Broncos vs Raiders odds
Broncos vs Raiders predictions
I am not overthinking this game and hitting the Under at 38 before it moves any more south.
It opened at 38.5 and has already taken some under money with a few 37.5s popping up at the time of writing on Tuesday.
This is a game between two teams that love to run and will feature Aiden O’Connell vs. Jarrett Stidham.
The new Denver Broncos starter was nothing special last week vs. a bad Chargers defense. He finished 23rd in average intended air yards, 25th in CPOE, and 24th in third-down success rate. Denver already played at a Top-10 slow rate with Russell Wilson and things didn’t change with Stidham under center.
The Broncos will want to run the ball but will struggle vs. a very underrated Las Vegas Raiders run defense that ranks first in success rate since Antonio Pierce took over in Week 9.
Pierce is also fond of running with Zamir White who has 59 carries in his three starts, I can’t see Josh Jacobs coming back this week but even if he did, the Raiders will continue to run the ball.
Both teams rank in the bottom 10 in pace of play and each club is happy to lean on the run late with a lead so late scoring could be hard to find. On the season, the Raiders are 4-12 O/U on the fourth-quarter total.
Denver could also be without receivers Marvin Mims (hamstring) and Courtland Sutton (concussion) as both pass-catchers missed last week. If they can’t go, expect this number to drop more. This is shaping up to be one of the ugliest games of the Week 18 slate.
